With the Russian invasion of Ukraine heavily dominating the UK news agenda, the position of the UKs political parties became somewhat becalmed during the spring on 2022 with no notable movements in the polls. Keir Starmer's lead over Rishi Sunak has increased to 7 pointsin terms of the party leader Britons think would make the best prime minister, by 34% (+2) to 27% (-1). backed Scotland becoming an independent country. Yes at 46 per cent when Nicola Sturgeon quit with Labour support rising, poll finds. A survey for YouGov gives the SNP a vote share of 36 per cent, with Labour on 33 per cent, the Conservatives on 19 with the Lib Dems just ahead of the Greens on seven and five per cent respectively. All Rights Reserved. @BritainElects. The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted a fortnight after Rishi Sunak became prime minister, shows Labour maintaining a significant lead over the Conservatives. Most polling companies listed here are members of the . The former SNP Westminster leader claimed he had not spoken to Nicola Sturgeon and Peter Murrell about the Police Scotland probe into the party's 'missing' 600k. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "If a referendum were held in Scotland on its constitutional future, would you personally prefer Scotland to vote for or against leaving the UK and becoming an independent country??". Prior to the collapse in Conservative polling in 2022, it was suggested that equalising constituencies may assist the Conservatives by as many as 10 seats, given that the partys seats in the south of England are currently numerically larger than those found elsewhere in the country. The above analysis of general election polls has been calculated through linear average equation modelling of the latest UK opinion polls of Westminster voting intention. Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia In doing so the Lib Dems would defeat both the deputy prime minister, Dominic Raab, and the Chancellor, Jeremy Hunt. Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Scottish independence, tracking changes over time. Polling aggregator Stats for Lefties has calculated that, if this poll were repeated in a general election, the Tories would win just 17 seats behind Labour, the SNP and the Lib Dems. Public Opinion Polls - For Women Scotland Critics pointed out that the survey contained many in the 24 to 49-year-old age bracket. Scottish Independence Poll Methodology: The above analysis of support for Scottish independence draws from the published polls of a number of leading firms: YouGov, Survation, ComRes, Redfield and Wilton, Panelbase, Detlapoll, Opinium and IpsosMori. Voting Intention: Con 21%, Lab 54% (28-29 Sep 2022) | YouGov Scottish Opinion Polls Recent Scottish opinion polls. Don't miss out! When Johnson announced his resignation on July 7, 2022, YouGov polling showed Labour on 40% and the Tories on 29% an 11 point lead. Opinion polling on Scottish independence is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge public attitudes to independence. Our first Tory members poll since the final two candidates were decided shows Liz Truss with a 24pt . Meanwhile, the latest opinion polls suggest it will be a knife-edge after a recent drop in SNP's approval rating and a small rise in Labour and Conservatives. View our Privacy PolicyandTerms & Conditions, TheLondonEconomic.com Open, accessible and accountable news, sport, culture and lifestyle. N.B. We will not share your email address with any third parties. The YouGov poll of voting intention conducted over Wednesday and Thursday showed 54% support for Labour and 21% for the Conservatives. We are sorry, but the email address you entered does not appear to be valid. . Data collected at regular intervals about or relating to Voting Intention, tracking changes over time. There is a wide variety of timeframes used on this topic. LONDON, Sept 10 (Reuters) - Support for British Prime Minister Boris Johnson's Conservative party has slipped behind the opposition Labour party to its lowest level since the 2019 national. UK PM Johnson's Conservatives see support slump to lowest since The Conservatives meanwhile have dropped to 21% of current vote intention, down seven points. Separate from the question of how Scots might vote in a hypothetical second referendum is the question of whether there should be a second referendum. However, following the Scottish parliament election of May 2021, one in which Nicola Sturgeon continued in government albeit in coalition with the Scottish greens , there have been signs of a slight drop off in enthusiasm for Scottish independence. Once again the responses vary with exactly how the question is asked. In this scenario, how would you vote in a General Election? We haven't published any articles, trackers or survey results about Voting Intention. YouGov poll: The mental health and wellbeing of employees are not supported by legal firms Law News 15:47 3-Feb-23. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. Only 44 per cent of those most likely to back the SNP said the same. 23% 22 Feb: PeoplePolling: GB News UK Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Yougov (January 26) which placed the Yes side on 46.5% and the No side on 53.5%, post adjusting for undecided voters. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Former Conservative party chairman: Sue Gray appointment proves Starmer is man of the establishment. The other tables reflect different ways questions around Independence can be asked, they may produce different results. Id 100% bang this poll pic.twitter.com/zW5y7LzwXS. Those who are likely voters, don't know, or wouldn't vote are excluded. Company number: SC669393. Plaid Cymru on 1% Other on 2%. July 9, 2020 YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal fur and do support a #FurFreeBritain; Government urged to end UK fur sales RT-Images/iStock.com Red fox lying in leaves LONDONBritish citizens overwhelmingly agree that the time has come for Britain to be fur-free. conservative party Labour Party By clicking 'Sign in and Subscribe' you agree to us subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. The new offer will see teachers getting a 12.3% increase by April 2023 and it will rise to 14% by 2024. All Rights Reserved. In the first three weeks of her premiership, the Labour lead over the Conservatives extended to 11%. However, there was even worse news for the SNP in the other new poll released by Redfield and Wilton Strategies on Thursday night and conducted on November 2-3. A YouGov poll shows 56% of Scots support the . What has happened to the once-great British Airways? Labour still lead in latest YouGov poll, but gap with Tories narrows to READ MORE: Scottish NHS staff reject latest pay offer and threaten 'unprecedented' strike action. Britain Elects. Indeed by the time that the Scot, Gordon Brown, became prime minister in 2007, support for Scottish independence had fallen back to 24%, its lowest level for over two decades. Pollsters showed that Liberal Democrat voting intention during most of this Parliament has been constant at around the 9% mark with only temporary uplifts above this point. Polling of British voters on whether the United Kingdom should rejoin the European Union. Britain Elects deals in poll aggregation alongside analysis of upcoming elections and the state of British public opinion. The YouGov survey for the Sunday Times of 1,088 Scottish voters shows support for the party dropped from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the Holyrood constituency vote and from 40 per cent to 36. The rank outsider to become First Minister has only received the public backing of one serving politician, Joanna Cherry, amid struggles to get her campaign going. The government is becoming increasingly authoritarian and our media is run by a handful of billionaires, most of whom reside overseas and all of them have strong political allegiances and financial motivations. Indeed Conservative support appeared to have grown slightly after Rishi Sunaks October 2021 budget. Scottish election polls and latest odds - who will win in 2021? Sustainable shooting key to governments nature recovery plans, Press release: Shootings role outlined to the new Welsh parliament, Liz Truss says she would use nuclear warfare, Hidden history: The Nazi-Soviet pact which Russia now tries to deny, The bigotry of Ukip is swamping the Conservative party, Very quietly, the coalition tries to dismantle judicial review, Comment: Anti-porn laws allow police to target those they don't like, Ambulance unions approached for pay talks after GMB tightens derogations, Reticulated giraffe heads to London Zoo before big breeding programme move, IRC Statement on IDC Report into UK Aid spend by the Home Office, Corporation tax is the tool to incentivise net zero, Trees: most accurate data yet shows glaring disparity in tree cover across England. The poll for the Sun found. Truss Widens UK Poll Lead as U-Turn on Public-Worker Pay Gives Sunak Hope Another. % 28 45 9 4 1 3 7 2 Con Lab Lib Dem SNP YouGov Westminster voting intention If there were a general election held tomorrow, which party would you vote for? YouGov poll reveals vast majority (93%) of Brits don't wear real animal In late February 2022, and prior to the Russian invasion of Ukraine, there were some tentative signs that the Conservative position had recovered slightly from its early 2022 lows. Further details of the latest voting intentions in relation to a Scottish independence referendum can be seen in the most recent individual polls: Techne (February 23) which placed the Yes side on 45.3% and the No side on 54.7%, post adjusting for undecided voters. The Tories would be on seven MPs up one despite all the turmoil of the past 12 months with the Lib Dems also up one on five, according to the seat predictor from Electoral Calculus. Last updated Feb 21, 2023 View all Surveys (8) Britain Elects (@BritainElects) / Twitter Full question: Nicola Sturgeon says the SNP will fight the next General Election as a de facto referendum on independence. Excluding those who declare themselves to be undecided (currently around 6% of the electorate), polling averages from February 2023. places the Yes side at 47.1% and the No side at 52.9%. He is the co-founder of poll aggregator Britain Elects. Rishi Sunak's poll bounce shows that he's still the Tories' best hope Results are limited to only those who state they will definitely vote. Scottish election 2021: Sturgeon says SNP 'not a divided party' Should the public's feeling remain largely down. More Scots are seeing the reality of SNP rule. Scottish independence poll shows support cooling as referendum draws Education. As a smaller poll, the margin of error on the major categories is approximately 4.4 percentage points, compared to 3 for typical polls of 1000 respondents. For Labour and the Lib Dems parties which also supported the legislation and oppose Westminsters intervention the figures are 13 per cent and 14 per cent respectively., The Times poll, conducted by Panelbase, reported on 11 Feb 2023. In the 2016 independence referendum, some 44.7% of Scottish voters backed Scotland becoming an independent country. You can also SUBSCRIBE TO OUR NEWSLETTER . In this case, Nicola Sturgeon has said that the SNP will treat the next UK General Election as a "de facto" referendum, campaigning on the single issue of independence. Our mission is to hold the powerful to account. Labour conference: Party surges in polls as 'clown show' economics Politics.co.uks current Westminster projections are also drawn through an aggregate extrapolation of the data on election polls. With the Conservatives polling over 50%, this lead briefly surpassed 20% at the beginning of the Covid pandemic in March and April 2020. Fewer than three in ten (29 per cent) respondents said they supported the [Gender Recognition Reform] bill, but more than half (54 per cent) said they opposed it. In the space of a month, support for the SNP in the next Scottish parliament election had fallen from 50 per cent to 44 per cent in the constituency vote . Crucially for the Union, the SNP would be some distance off a majority share if the election was to be regarded as a 'de facto' referendum on independence, as Nicola Sturgeon has suggested. Kemi Badenoch, who has proved popular . That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Welcome to my summary of the latest national voting intention poll from each pollster currently operating in Britain. The YouGov Cost of Living Segmentation YouGov 12:02 7-Feb-23. In terms of specific adjustments then made to this analysis, Politics.co.uk has assumed that the Green MP Caroline Lucas would continue to hold her safe seat in Brighton Pavilion, and that Sir Lindsay Hoyle would be returned as Speaker for his constituency of Chorley. In Wales, Plaid Cymru is currently on course to lose one seat to Labour. Related: Fear and Loathing in the New Conservatives. Non-standard question: Instead of the 2014 referendum question, respondents were asked "In a referendum on independence for Scotland held tomorrow, how would you vote?" It found 72% of voters - including 69% of those who voted Tory in 2019 -. The latest YouGov panel has shown a shift against independence in several areas. The YouGov poll released on Monday night put the lead for the no campaign at six points, down from 14 points in the middle of August and 22 points early last month. Week-in-Review: Covid sleaze is back and more politically potent than ever, Five missions focused on fixing the fundamentals, says Starmer ahead of major speech, The decline and fall of the one nation Conservative. Where does the public really stand on womens rights and proposals to reform the Gender Recognition Act? To donate or subscribe to The London Economic, click here. The latest opinion polling from outlet YouGov shows respondents relatively downbeat on the state of the US economy over the next six months, anticipating that inflation will rise, there will be further interest rate hikes, and gas prices will increase. That opinion poll lead so far appears unaffected by Nicola Sturgeons announcement that she was standing down as first minister in mid February 2023. Shock poll finds Tories are heading for near total wipeout in Wales Can the public identify the Deputy Leader of the Labour Party? The latest YouGov/Times voting intention poll, conducted following Kwasi Kwarteng's 'mini-Budget'shows the Tories have taken a severe hit following the poor reception to the Growth Plan. BBC Scotland Gender Recognition Act Poll, conducted by Savanta ComRes, reported by the BBC 17 Feb 2022Full Results I DataMain findings: 57% would support making the process to acquire a gender recognition certificate easier but that support dropped when asked about specific proposals. Across the whole of the UK, the YouGov poll conducted on November 1-2 predicted Labour way out ahead on 50 per cent of the vote (down one point) and the Tories marooned on 25 per cent (up one point). By clicking 'Create Account and Subscribe' you agree to us creating an account for you and subscribing you to our newsletter in accordance with our Privacy Policy and Legal Notice.Emails, which may be sent daily or less frequently, may include marketing elements. Big names to go would include Joanna Cherry and Mhairi Black. A poll of more than 1,000 people . Rishi Sunak fails to win back Conservative support in Wales, poll By the second half of 2020, in November 2020, the Yes campaign reached a record level of 56% in the polls. Former prime minister Boris Johnson, net zero secretary Grant Shapps, and transport secretary Mark Harper, are amongst some of the leading political figures who would lose their seats to Labour. A YouGov poll earlier this week gave Truss a 19-point advantage over Sunak in a head-to-head. Polling conducted before the 2014 Scottish independence referendum can be found here. Prince Harry's U.K. Popularity Down 35 Points Since Meghan WeddingPolling In early March 2023, the Labour Party continue to consolidate their substantial lead over the Conservatives, one which is now trending at 21%.. Polling averages extrapolated in the 3 weeks to 2 March place Labour on 47.3%, the Conservatives on 26.8%, and the Liberal Democrats on 9.3%. However amidst mounting pressure on Boris Johnsons position in late June, and the drawn out nature of his resignation in early July, the Labour party once extended their lead over the Conservatives in the polls. This means that we may include adverts from us and third parties based on our knowledge of you. Coming into the autumn, the Conservatives appeared to have suffered no adverse polling impacts from either their proposed rise in national insurance, or the autumn fuel shortages. Holy oil prepared to anoint King Charles III during coronation during ceremony in Jerusalem. With plans for the establishment of a Scottish parliament in Holyrood by the Blair government in the late 1990s, support for Scottish independence rose once again. Most polling companies listed here are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide by its disclosure rules. Notable recent election polls Humza Yousaf blasted as he promises to spend taxpayer cash on more independence prospectuses, The Scottish Government health secretary, and front-runner to replace Nicola Sturgeon as First Minister, used his speech in Arbroath to claim that he was going to 'kickstart the independence campaign', Ange Postecoglou hails Reo Hatate Celtic impact as he makes 'another couple of levels' claim. The TLE shop is also now open, with all profits going to supporting our work. Scotland should remain part of the UK without an elected parliament. NewsNow aims to be the world's most accurate and comprehensive aggregator of news about Scotland opinion polls, which are carried out by various polling companies, including members of the British Polling Council (BPC), such as YouGov, Ipsos MORI, and Survation. Humza Yousaf 'should be anti-nationalist choice' for First Minister - because he's so useless, The Majority reckons the health secretary will create a 'raging bin fire' for the SNP if he gets the keys to Bute House when the party votes on a new leader, Prince Harry and Meghan Markle 'OK' about leaving Frogmore Cottage following Buckingham Palace's eviction, The couple are said to have accepted that they were privileged to have a house in the US and the UK, Rangers XI v Kilmarnock as Michael Beale starts Nicolas Raskin and Todd Cantwell after Celtic final defeat, New January recruits return to the first team after their shock Hampden omission, Manchester United hero Nicky Butt 'hated' Aberdeen interview process as he admits 'sick' feeling of manager talks, The Old Trafford Class of 92' hero spoke to several suitors including Aberdeen in 2021, SNP blasted for 'dragging their heels' over dangerous cladding programme as they spend less than 1m of 97m funding pot. This lead was trending at around 8% at the point that Liz Truss became prime minister in September 2022. At the heart of our company is a global online community, where millions of people and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organizations engage in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, behaviours and brands. and given the options of "Yes" and "No". Those SNP MPs to lose their seats would include Amy Callaghan in East Dunbartonshire (to the Lib Dems) and Richard Thomson in Gordon (to the Tories). tax was introduced a year early in Scotland by the UK government. This includes a majority of those who agree the people should be freely able to express their transgender identity. YouGov said that among those who voted Conservative in 2019 but now say they plan to vote Labour, Sunak's net favourability score, the percentage who have a 'favourable' opinion minus the . At the end of the 1970s, support for Scottish independence was polling at little more than 10%. Opinion polling for UK general elections; 2010 election; Opinion polls: 2015 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: 2017 election; Opinion polls Leadership approval: . The SNP is on 30 per cent, the Tories on 15 per cent and the Lib Dems on 11, with others on 3 per cent. In the early part of the 2010s, with a Conservative coalition government in Westminster, and with the SNP focused on holding an indepdence referendum in Scotland, support for Scottish independence grew further. conducted. Respondents saying they would prefer Scotland to vote for or against independence have been mapped to Yes and No here respectively, while respondents saying they "don't mind either way" have been assigned as undecided.

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