Nocturnal cyclic supercell that produced multiple large tornadoes, at times hidden by fog. Fortunately, it appeared at this point that the tornado had mostly missed town. Map last updated June 3 in the evening. As Edwards put it, Amazing parameter spaces don't produce [without] storms in them.. We were confused by the (relative) dearth of storm chasers in front of us. Particularly photogenic EF2 tornado, one of multiple (mostly EFU) produced by a few supercells. Home destroyed by EF3 tornado in Celina on May 27, 2019. And sure enough, the army of supercells remained in the simulated reflectivity fields. If youre wondering how did this sounding do that?, remember to check for boundaries, cell mergers, and chaos! Curiously enough though, another storm had developed on its western flank, similar to what this storm had done to a storm to its east earlier in the day. Photogenic supercells that produced hail up to 4.25 inches and a couple tornadoes. The abstract says that very high and very low false alarm rates led to inferior decision making, but that lowering the false alarm rate slightly did not significantly affect compliance or decision quality. These results are counter to previous studies that linked cry wolf with non-compliance to warnings. This statement is not particularly unusual at this time of the year. The realities of false alarms. Try these recipes to prepare dishes with confidence. EF3 tornado, part of the Groundhog Day Florida tornado outbreak. Surprisingly, the researchers found that concerns about false alarms generating a complacent public may be somewhat exaggerated. It had the feel. The wind shear was very impressive, as was the rotational potential conveyed in those low-level winds. The OH extent of the event was largely a surprise until late in the forecast period. Supercell that produced a large wedge EF3 tornado before acquiring a particularly photogenic mothership structure. That meant we needed to go to The Big Texan in Amarillo, which seemed like a good place to post up for the evening. thomas reed vreeland jr. pseg long island hosting capacity map Pair of photogenic tornadic waterspouts over Lake Michigan. We knew all along that these storms wouldnt be the real show, so we didnt worry too much. Meteorologists @AriWeather and @bhensonweather explain what happened and why it was or wasn't a "bust": https://t.co/durkL9acaS pic.twitter.com/fZudyh2klN. For a time, it did seem like a slam dunk. There was such a heightened sense of alert about the storms on Monday. Aside from the occasional burst of wind and clap of thunder, we don't exactly get much in the way of interesting severe weather. The professionals are in a very tough position, having to carefully evaluate and balance two ends of a spectrum: miss a critical forecast for widespread, severe storms and many lives could be unnecessarily lost, vs. over-forecast an event and face criticism and potential loss of credibility for the next go-round. An enhanced risk was in place Tuesday afternoon for eastern Missouri and northeast Arkansas on Tuesday afternoon, with a slight risk bending back toward eastern Kansas. The next morning I woke up and met up with my chase partners. All in all, the day underperformed breathtakingly and thats a good thing. SPC warning coordination meteorologist Patrick Marsh also pondered the day's perplexities on Twitter. Having said all of that, the reality is that false alarms are a challenge in weather messaging (or are they?) Long-lived EF3 tornado that killed 3 people. In the latter of the two, the feel was absolutely undeniable. Part of an outbreak of tornadoes across the central Plains. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. That was [what] I was imagining when I walked in the door yesterday. See the weather.com article for the latest on Tuesdays ongoing severe weather and impacts from the outbreak. Long-tracked EF5 wedge tornado that killed 9 people. Here are three dangers of the word bust in such real-time weather events. Mobile radars had winds well within the violent category (I know, I know). One of the most reflective of the meteorologists weighing in on Tuesday was Roger Edwards, a longtime SPC forecaster who was on duty early Monday. Frustrating as it must've been for him, I made sure he came with that same book every week thereafter. The proclamation quickly became a lead story among the major news outlets. Hatched Area: 10% or greater probability of EF2 - EF5 tornadoes within 25 miles of a point. Massive and particularly photogenic crown-shaped supercell that also produced a rain-wrapped EF2 tornado. Particularly photogenic mothership supercell that produced a couple of tornadoes. A majority of the May 2019 tornadoes occurred over many of the Central Plains and Midwestern states in three multi-day events (May 17-18, May 20-22 and May 26-29). These heavy rains certainly materialized, albeit focused a bit further north than expected. Some of the images of chaser traffic behind us are mind blowing. But it was more than enough to get both my father and I hooked for life. Most specifically, I used NASA's GEOS-5 model to examine the dynamics and evolution of rapidly intensifying northeastern US winter storm events. The strong RFD had eroded the back of the updraft just above the tornado, illuminating it and allowing us to see the multiple vortices dancing around the base, rising and sinking before disappearing and being replaced by the one next in line. The last time a 45% tornado outlook was issued was during the Tornado Outbreak in Oklahoma and Kansas on 14 April 2012. A large, powerful low pressure system moved up across . when I was in second grade. Photogenic and tornadic mothership supercell. Multi-vortex tornado, known for chasing storm chasers, that went on to become a long-lived EF3. Please read #okwx @NWSNorman pic.twitter.com/gzvOQv75ON, Tornado damage and path visible in fields from outskirts of Mangum, OK #OKWX #Tornado pic.twitter.com/RybNPXaImP. At that moment, we knew the day was done. Even our storm seemed to be attached at the hip to another storm on its northeastern flank never a good sign. In general (especially prior to 2021), RAP has a bias toward warm, dry surface conditions and weak low-level shear, especially on drier days. Hype or hope? OR Not long after making our way into and out of town, the tornado dissipated as we continued to move east. (KWTV-KOTV/AP) Article On Monday, more than 20 tornadoes developed across four states in the southern Great Plains, producing pockets of considerable damage throughout Texas, Oklahoma, Kansas. As a meteorologist, I certainly understand that when verification statistics are done, this event likely falls short of some of the messaging metrics associated with outbreaks. From a meteorological perspective, was it a bust? EF4 wedge tornado, part of an infamous outbreak of tornadoes across western Kansas. Many school systems closed for the day, and shops and restaurants shuttered their doors in advance of the anticipated onslaught. EF3 tornado and others from cyclic, high-precipitation supercell. This is one possible realization of the May 20, 2019 tornado outbreak, had the run of the High Resolution Rapid Refresh model (HRRR), initialized at 00z on May 20, materialized. Contrary to most jokes about where they strike, these did not hit trailer parks. Long-tracked EF4 tornado that killed 10 people. The list was procured by how impactful the storms were to civilization, how abnormal they were for the area, or how memorable they were to storm chasers. Myconcern is that our weather geekery and verification statistics dont really matter to someone that was impacted. Several supercell thunderstorms developed . At the time of this writing, we are planning to head out next week to chase with fellow H&H chasers Travis and John. Probability of a tornado within 25 miles of a point. EF2 tornado, one of 10 tornadoes (up to EF3) produced by a cyclic, high-precipitation supercell that tracked across northern IL. Simultaneously, heavy rains from severe thunderstorms flooded roads and houses and triggered water rescues. (Katie Wheatley) Volleys of tornadoes touched down for 14 straight days beginning May 17, 2019. Often regarded as one of the greatest days of modern storm chasing. Particularly photogenic tornado, part of a cold-core outbreak of tornadoes across south/central NE. Long-lived EF3 tornado (though measured by mobile radar to be stronger) from a high-precipitation supercell. Pair of particularly photogenic LP mothership supercells. Winds were strongest a few minutes before it crossed N of Mangum. Some of the storms were quite narrow, which made them more vulnerable to disruption from the very strong wind shear. Multiple particularly photogenic tornadoes (rated up to EF2) from the same supercell. This page is a useful bookmark for past famous tornadoes, supercells, and other storms in the United States and Canada. But at the same time, it left behind a sense of false alarm, ire that schools were needlessly shut down and a desire to better understand the sometimes fickle nature of weather prediction. Even so, the storm remained discrete and we just couldnt leave it in favor of other storms when it was in that environment. There was the northward surge of highly unstable, tropical air with high moisture off the Gulf of Mexico. For example, the wealth of computer model runs issued before the event can be compared with data from special efforts like the TORUS field campaign, to figure out what the models did and didnt capture ahead of time. After dinner, I did some in depth model analysis and some of what I saw was eye-popping; extreme instability coupled with incredible shear created a parameter space on par with or perhaps exceeding any of the biggest outbreaks in recorded history. Photogenic EF4 tornado, part of a large-scale tornado outbreak. This did not actually happen! As of Tuesday afternoon, 345 river gauges across the contiguous U.S. were in flood stage, with several at record to near-record levels across northern Oklahoma and southern Kansas. Several days before, there were many indicators of unusually severe potential converging over the southern Plains. What a silly, unforced error. 3-6 hours difference is what saved Oklahoma today. Each case comes with documentation, a proximity sounding from unmodified RAP and ERA5 reanalysis, (see disclaimer), and storm-centered NEXRAD imagery. Assuming some kind of subsidence at that level keeping a lid on things? 1/9 Those rooting for long-track tornadoes & destruction yesterday probably were wondering what went "wrong" with the forecast. The tornado outbreak sequence of May 2019 was a prolonged series of destructive tornadoes and tornado outbreaks affecting the United States over the course of nearly two weeks, producing a total of 400 tornadoes, including 53 significant events (EF2+). This article was published more than3 years ago. With at least 19 tornadoes, flooding on Interstate 40, and hail damage, how could this be a forecast bust? A Tweet by Michelle Lynn strongly resonated with me: For those calling it a bust, say that to my family who live in Mangum, OK. Luckily, they are ok, but that tornado was NOT A BUST. Particularly photogenic supercell that produced an anticyclonic tornado amongst others. Wedge tornado produced by high-precipitation supercell, with recorded winds up to 212 mph, though rated an EF2. Long-tracked EF4 tornado, part of the Super Tuesday Outbreak. Particularly photogenic tornado, especially for the area. Cyclic supercell that produced multiple tornadoes, including a large, dust-wrapped, and particularly photogenic wedge tornado. Long-lived, dusty, and nearly stationary EF2 tornado. I wont delve too deeply into the meteorology behind the event, but it largely busted. Photogenic supercell that produced a swath of hail up to 3.25 inches. Particularly photogenic supercell, especially for the area and time of year. Photogenic and plains-like supercell, part of a multi-day montage of mothership storms. One of multiple tornadoes produced by a cyclic supercell. There was a real possibility that many lives could have been lost or permanently altered by the weather that day, but that simply didnt happen. Oklahoma City, OKNorman, OKLawton, OKEdmond, OKMidwest City, OK Tulsa, OKWichita Falls, TXBroken Arrow, OKEnid, OKMuskogee, OK Lubbock, TXAbilene, TXFort Smith, ARFayetteville, ARSpringdale, AR Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXBoston, MAArlington, TXWichita, KS New York, NYPhiladelphia, PABaltimore, MDWashington, DCKansas City, MO Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKLubbock, TXAmarillo, TXAbilene, TX Oklahoma City, OKNorman, OKEdmond, OKMidwest City, OKMoore, OK Lawton, OKStillwater, OKShawnee, OKDuncan, OKAda, OK Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXArlington, TXPlano, TXGarland, TX Colorado Springs, COWichita, KSWorcester, MASpringfield, MASpringfield, MO Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKAbilene, TXNorman, OKWichita Falls, TX Lubbock, TXAmarillo, TXMidland, TXOdessa, TXSan Angelo, TX Fort Worth, TXBoston, MAWichita, KSProvidence, RIWorcester, MA New York, NYPhiladelphia, PADallas, TXBaltimore, MDWashington, DC Oklahoma City, OKTulsa, OKNorman, OKWichita Falls, TXLawton, OK Lubbock, TXAmarillo, TXAbilene, TXMidland, TXOdessa, TX Dallas, TXFort Worth, TXArlington, TXWichita, KSPlano, TX New York, NYPhiladelphia, PABaltimore, MDBoston, MAWashington, DC Probabilistic to Categorical Outlook Conversion Table, May 20, 2019 1630 UTC Day 1 Convective Outlook. (709 Miles) May 24, 2022 - Bust down near Brownwood in Central Texas. Published on Severe weather outlook for May 20th 2019 as issued by the Storm Prediction Center NOAA The timing of "bust" declarations. Early indications suggested that an area of stability (a cap) may have somewhat suppressed the potential powder keg. Around the same time, the storm inexplicably began to shrivel up. Slow-moving EF4 wedge tornado lasting over 90 minutes, often referred to as Bennington II. Infamous long-tracked EF4 tornado that killed 6 people and destroyed an already decaying town. Here's a picture from Cassie Colson of hail up to 5.5" inches in diameter, found in Wellington yesterday, after 3:30 pm. However from a human toll perspective, I say So what? The messaging forced people to act and hazardous severe weather (and flooding often overlooked) happened. The tornado outbreak sequence of May 2019. Particularly photogenic, cyclic tornadic supercell (up to EF3). There was another type of high risk on Mondayone issued by the NOAA/NWS Weather Prediction Center for excessive rain leading to flash flood risk. 1999 (145 tornadoes) was the previous record year in the Sooner State and included the destructive May 3, 1999 outbreak including the F5 Oklahoma City metro tornado. In addition, the May 2019 tornado production was persistent, as 28 of the 31 days in May had at least one tornado reported. Long-tracked EF3 tornado, part of North Carolinas largest tornado outbreak on record. Photogenic cold-core EF2 tornadoes occurring close to each other both in location and time, from two separate supercells. First and foremost, Im so, so proud of how we navigated around the storm. My dad was initially skeptical, but we signed up and were ready to take the plunge. The tornado outbreak is expected to continue into the overnight period. Long-tracked EF4 tornado that became the third widest on record at 2.25 miles, and killed 8 people. Particularly photogenic flying saucer-like supercell. Given the relatively quick storm motion and the now lengthening line of chasers behind us, we were only able to stop for 30 seconds or so at a time to take photos. The latter tornado is often thought to be among the strongest of recorded tornadoes. Could be a little placebo effect, but I choose to believe its not. 94 mph (151 km/h) 0 Tornado outbreak sequence . We finally got back on the storm in between East Duke and Mangum, Oklahoma. Infamous U.S. derecho that travelled 800 miles over 18 hours, killing 22 people and resulting in an estimated $2.9 billion in damage. Foraged in Baltimore celebrates a few of the chefs favorite things, Colorful coconut truffles capture the Holi festivals hues and joy, These teriyaki-inspired salmon bowls are sticky, sweet and savory, nightmare scenario and a rare kind of event that may take many lives.. Overcast skies limited surface heating. A quick recap of rainfall and flood reports over the past 24 hours, compared to the WPC Excessive Rainfall Outlook at 15Z yesterday (after High Risk was expanded). The Mangum tornado is an example of what could have been, said Rick Smith, warning coordination meteorologist at NWS/Norman, on Twitter. EF3 tornado that killed 7 people in a town with no siren system. This is a little-used threat category, and it had been two years since a similar high-level alert had been issued in the United States. They very much hoped I'd be scared straight to the point of wanting to cancel the trip. Upon making it to Childress, we noticed something odd; the tornadic mid-morning storms hadnt developed. Ive experienced this on a few occasions; May 24th, 2011 and May 31st, 2013 immediately come to mind. In a number of late-day tweets and discussions, meteorologists and storm chasers developed a consensus that while the air mass was indeed highly unstable, the manner in which all that buoyant energy was distributed in the vertical ended up being problematic. Created and maintained by Cameron Nixon. Realizing quickly that storms werent moving nearly as fast as expected, we shot back south towards Childress. Very long-tracked EF3 tornado that lasted over an hour and a half. Understandably, those in the region unaffected by the severe weather breathed a collective sigh of relief. Photogenic and dusty EF2 tornado that hit an oil workers camp. We weren't that far off.. Take control of your data. EF3EF4-equivalent tornado that killed 6 people, highly unusual for the area. Weak, photogenic tornado that served as the consolation prize for storm chasers in a High Risk event that many regarded as a bust.. I always default to the human responses before meteorological numbers. EF4 tornado, part of a localized outbreak of tornadoes. Not long after, the western storm was undercut by outflow from storms to its west too the chase was over at 6:30 pm on a high risk day. Soundings were not adjusted for observed surface variables or storm motions. Part of the 2011 Super Outbreak. A tornado outbreak occurred during the afternoon and evening hours of the May 20, 2013, and was the last day of a three-day stretch of significant severe weather from May 18-20, 2013. March 11, 2019, 9:20 PM Tornado wreaks havoc in northern Michigan community. EF3 tornado, part of a surprise outbreak of 24 tornadoes (up to EF3) produced by mini-supercells across northern IN and OH that went largely unforecast. Many meteorologists saw this as a rare combination of extremes, by late May standards, that would trigger a swarm of rotating thunderstorms or supercells, unfolding in several rounds from early afternoon through late evening. 18:25 - Future Jet Stream Strength 20:31 - Future Storm Ingredients 21:58 - Valentine's Day Storm Season? A copy of my dissertation can be found here. Numerous Severe Thunderstorm Warnings were issued, along with Tornado Warnings. Long-tracked EF-4 tornado, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across IL and the Ohio Valley. June? Particularly photogenic tornadoes from a rather atypical cold core-like setup for the area. The high risk was issued for a 30% probability of significant tornadoes. Perhaps even more curiously however, many of the storms that had developed along the dryline to our west were beginning to cluster together rather than remaining largely discrete as indicated by the models. EF2 and EF3 wedge tornadoes from the same supercell. the latest public statement about this event. A majority of the May 2019 tornadoes occurred over many of the Central Plains and Midwestern states in three multi-day events (May 17-18, May 20-22 and May 26-29). There was even a car accident between some chasers as traffic grinded to a near halt. Our weather forecasts continue to improve as our technology and understand advance but tornado forecasting is still hard. We got well out ahead of the circulation and stopped to get out of the car and watch it approach. EF4 tornado that killed 9 people after impacting an elevated highway bridge. Severe weather outlook for May 20th 2019 as issued, Meteorologists in the NWS Norman office. (624 Miles) May 12, 2022 - 80-90 MPH Straight line winds in a fast moving Derecho near Huron, SD (1585 Miles) Earlier this week the Great Plains experienced severe weather. We managed to stay ahead of that and get a beautiful view of a gorgeous white tornado. It even smells different, although Im not quite sure I can put my finger on what thats about. We were flabbergasted, as it was in theoretically the best environment for the genesis of violent tornadoes the planet had seen in many years. EF3 tornado, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across OK and AR. Being from NJ, we knew nothing about severe weather much less had the ability to chase it ourselves. With relative ease considering the number of chasers we expected to see, we made it back out onto the main road. This tornado family killed 65 people, leveled large portions of multiple towns along its path, and along with another tornado this day, stirred controversy over workplace preparedness. Photogenic tornado family (up to EF3), part of a tornado outbreak over the TX Panhandle produced largely by a few cyclic supercells. As noteworthy as the days severe weather was, it wasnt as extensive as what many short-range models had predicted, and it probably didnt match up with many residents expectations of more widespread calamity. At this point, we assumed that the storm would recycle and produce another, larger tornado. Widest and strongest recorded tornado on Earth, at 2.6 miles wide and 302 mph winds measured by mobile radar, that exhibited particularly erratic motion and killed 8 people, including storm chasers and 3 members of the TWISTEX research team. As a byproduct of falling in love with chasing, I was fortunate enough to pursue and complete a B.Sc in Meteorology from the University of Miami in 2014 and a Ph.D. in Atmospheric Science from the University of Wisconsin - Madison in 2018. We began the day with severe storms moving over our hotel in Amarillo. Tornadoes were on the ground in North Dallas, Richardson, Garland, and Rowlett. Remember me Not recommended on shared computers. An event that was largely a surprise (especially in magnitude) until later in the forecast period. #okwx #txwx #arwx #mowx #kswx pic.twitter.com/y2p1mNtrjV. Copyright TWC Product and Technology LLC 2014, 2023, Category 6 Sets Its Sights Over the Rainbow, Alexander von Humboldt: Scientist Extraordinaire, My Time with Weather Underground (and Some Favorite Posts). may 20, 2019 tornado bustview from my seat theatreview from my seat theatre The event highly resembled, at least in HRRR model space, high-impact Dixie Alley events where strong to violent tornadoes are more common than anywhere else in the world. You wake up and notice a distinct difference when you walk outside the air is virtually dripping. As we had seen a few great tornadoes a couple days earlier on May 17th, we needed to celebrate with a storm chasing tradition: a steak dinner. It was on the ground for 20 miles and left devastation a half-mile wide. pic.twitter.com/WTUt7nqhjz. 23:48 - April is May and May is April 25:16 - Warmer Gulf Early Means More Severe 26:16 - More seasonal variability 29:06 - Boom or Bust Seasons? 0305: 6 N BALD HILL : OKMULGEE : OK: 3583: 9584: EMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTED A TORNADO. We grabbed some breakfast at Sonic and watched out the window as the high clouds in the wake of the storms to the north began to burn off. EF2 tornado, well-documented and heavily-studied by VORTEX2. EF3 tornado that was largely unanticipated. NOAAs Storm Prediction Center(SPC)tweeted that morning: Parts of Arkansas, Missouri, andOklahoma were under tornado warnings and flooding threats early Tuesday morning as I write this article. There are multiple theories as to what happened, some that I agree with more than others. An outbreak occurred overnight on October 20, 2019. While waiting for them to mature a bit, we decided to drift a bit east towards Hollis, Oklahoma in order to give ourselves a bit of breathing room once they started rocketing towards us as fully developed, tornadic supercells. Ultimately, Monday was a day with truly sobering high-end potential, so we can be grateful that supercells didnt end up developing in the right places and at the right times to take full advantage of the situation. What emerged was a bona fide severe weather outbreak, but less fierce and extensive than the one many computer models and official outlooks had indicated was a strong possibility. Well have to wait for formal verification, but at first glance it appears the outbreak fell well short of reflecting these odds. This event also produced the most deadly and devastating tornado of the year for Oklahoma and the the United States. But there is nothing that gets chasers blood flowing like seeing the issuance of a high risk for tornadoes. Infamous EF5 tornado that killed 24 people. EF2 tornado, one of several produced by a slow-moving supercell. Photogenic EF2 tornado from a cyclic supercell that produced tornadoes up to EF3. In addition, the May 2019 tornado production was persistent, as 28 of the 31 days in May had at least one tornado reported. optimism bias (it wont be as bad as they say), the psychological evaluation of risks vs. cost, geography or lack of trust of the warnings themselves. What if we had had 5 of those yesterday in the warm sector? Outflow storm modes dominate. Often regarded as the gold standard for dust storms for the Phoenix area. Long-tracked, EF5 wedge tornado that killed 9 people, part of an outbreak of tornadoes across the central Plains. The main concern for me is that we have become a culture that frowns upon preparing for the worst and nothing happens. Dense low clouds prevailed across most of the high risk area, which cut down on surface heating that might have helped more storms overcome the weak cap. Login . In a thread on his personal Twitter account, Edwards offered wide-ranging thoughts on what happened and what we can learn from it. Particularly cyclic supercell that produced several tornadoes, up to EF2, in rapid succession. A pair of large and intense tornadoes, both rated EF2, that formed in quick succession, narrowly missing the KGWX radar. Since I started chasing, I've seen a host of significant tornado events, including the 2011 Joplin EF5 and the 2013 El Reno EF3 (El Reno was an EF5), amongst many others. Only the 18th time @NWSSPC has issued a Day 3 Moderate Risk. Those not as sadistic wondered what we missed w/overforecasting in a results-based sense. Parts of Arkansas, Missouri, andOklahoma were under tornado warnings and flooding threats early Tuesday morning as I write this article. There was a high likelihood of a large tornado outbreak across Texas and Oklahoma. I am also something of an amateur weather historian and collector, collecting a multitude of rare meteorological books and documents. Eleanor Bowles was discovered dead by her son around 5:30 p.m . A 77-year-old grandmother was found stabbed to death in her own garage inside a gated community in an Atlanta suburb on Saturday. ET, May 23, 2019 Ironically, caps can be key ingredients in explosive storm development too. A rare PDS outbreak stokes our basic curiosities even as we know the storms could alter lives in an instance. At times, there seems to be a disappointment factor if nothing happens, and there was preparation. We recognize our responsibility to use data and technology for good. A series of particularly photogenic tornadoes, some well-documented at a close range, part of a local outbreak of tornadoes up to EF3. Even having seen a significant tornado only moments before, this seemed incomprehensible. Particularly photogenic tornado from well-structured supercell. EF3 tornado that killed 6 people. As the mid-level jet ejects northeastward across the southern High Plains this afternoon and evening, a tornado outbreak is likely across the southern Plains. An enhanced-risk area is already in place for Thursday. Sign Up As the circulation approached our position, the road turned parallel to its track, allowing us a perfect view of the incredible tornado. Probabilistic Damaging Wind Graphic Probability of damaging thunderstorm winds or wind gusts of 50 knots or higher within 25 miles of a point. Long-tracked F2 tornado associated with the Six-State supercell, which lasted over 17 hours and travelled nearly 800 miles from Oklahoma to Michigan. Long-tracked EF3 tornado and 5 hail that dealt the Northwoods distinguishable damage scar. Many of meteorologists, including me, pursued weather because of hurricanes, storms or awe-inspiring observations. We were confused, as we didnt have a visual of a ground circulation even given our ability to see the rapidly rotating wall cloud just to our west. Long-lived EF2 tornado from an HP supercell with northwest flow. Sure enough, a chopper was reporting a large, multi-vortex tornado on the ground not a mile from our location. Since 2006, we've been out chasing every year save for 2018 when I was writing my Ph.D. dissertation. A particularly photogenic mothership supercell. Webuy car or home insurance with the intent of never having to use it. May 23, 2008: Quinter, Kansas EF4 wedge tornado, part of an infamous outbreak of tornadoes across western Kansas. In fact, NOAAs Storm Prediction Center(SPC)tweeted that morning: The latest forecast from SPC has increased the tornado probabilities from 30% to 45% from northwest Texas into central Oklahoma. Looking back now with far more experience in my pocket, we didn't see anything particularly incredible that week.

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