Every beginning Is only a sequel, after all, and the book of events is always open halfway through. The probability that you came about and exist today is the same as that turtle sticking its head out of the waterin the middle of that life preserver. Contributors control their own work and posted freely to our site. Again, it is similar to the probability of winning the Loto: while my chances of winning are very small, the probability of someone (or someones) winning are much higher. I think that was exactly Msgr. Thats a pretty straightforward calculation. The chances of them talking to one another is 1 in 10. Previously, I had heard the Buddhist version of the probability of this precious incarnation. Step 1. A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull. xx, Lets be social! Gather your loved ones around and give props to your incredibly resilient and badass survivor ancestors, while you explode your gender revel confetti poppers. Pretty darn close, for such an unusual calculation. I would certainly add in (sadly) that there is the possibility of abortion or miscarriage, but even a simple analysis yields an astonishingly small probability. First, let us figure out the probability of one turtle sticking its head out of the one life preserver we toss out somewhere in the ocean. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about 1 in 10. Scripture says. The chances of that turning into a long-term relationship is about . If even once the wrong sperm met the wrong egg, you would not be sitting here noodling online reading fascinating articles like this one. it is impossible)., The astronomer Sir Fred Hoyle illustrated this with his Junkyard Tornado Theory: The chance that higher life forms might have emerged in this way is comparable to the chance that a tornado sweeping through a junkyard might assemble a Boeing 747 from the materials therein.. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. Step 3. I was toying with this other idea, about an owl who falls in love with a cat and brings it mice every day. Thats a pretty good trip. Let's say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause don't count. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. whump prompts generator > mecklenburg county, va indictments 2021 > dr ali binazir odds of being born. Its maddening to see people worry so much. Step 4. Dr. Ali Binazir Specializes In Dating/Being Single Support, Empowering Women, NLP, Phobias/OCD And Wellness And Is Located In San Francisco, CA. He wrote that a supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events had to take place before the sperm with half your name on it met up with the egg with the other half. How fast does a laden fly fly? You exist, that is the only probable outcome, so the probability of you being you is 1. Probability of right sperm meeting right egg: 1 in 400 quadrillion. One in 400 trillion vs one in 700 trillion? Its so unlikely, its almost impossible that youre here and taking a breath right now. Then what would be the chance of your particular lineage to have remained unbroken for 150,000 generations? Lets say a life preservers hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside, which we will conveniently round to 0.5 square meters. The RecovHer Freedom Breakthrough Course- Work With Me. As Borel pointed out such an event was so improbable as to be impossible. Probability of same boy knocking up same girl: one in 2000. To be more specific, its probably 1 in 102,640,000. Dr. Ali Binazir - Something To Prove If I had 400 trillion pennies, I could probably build a decent-sized penny fortress with it. Tara MacIsaac is an Epoch Times reporter based in Toronto. One of my brothers made his own calculation regarding one of Binazirs assumptions and came up with a figure that would make the probability of existence even smaller: My numbers are more simplistic, but assuming 100,000 eggs/woman & 12 trillion sperm/man creates 1.2 x 10^18 combinations for every man/woman pairing (i.e., significantly more combinations than the 400 trillion or 4 x 10^14 mentioned in the article). That is the reason the majority dislike games, lotto, and sports beting. Well then, that would be one in 2 , which is about one in 10 -- a number so staggeringly large that my head hurts just writing it down. dr ali binazir odds of being born. The analogy given by Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of YOU being born is here: Its the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean, with exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Tip #3 of 20: You are already a goddess, so feel free to act like one. You Are a Miracle, 1 in 400 Quadrillion or more - LinkedIn A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. Dr. Ali Binazir | TheCarolinaCowboy Dr. Ali Binazir Has 10 Years + Experience As A Author. Regardless of your skin color, country of origin, body size, religion, gender, or view point, WE ALREADY MADE IT HERE. Now things start getting interesting. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The odds of being born are less than the total number of atoms in the known universe! Or is it much too early in the week, this being only Monday, for thinking about stuff like this? The odds of red or black are 50:50 with each spin of the wheel. The odds of becoming a millionaire in America are between 6.4% to 22.3% according to data from the Federal Reserve Boards Survey of Consumer Finances. You are a representative of an unbroken lineage of life going back 4 billion years. So lets say the probability of your parents meeting, ever, is 10,000 divided by 200 million: Probability of boy meeting girl: 1 in 20,000. Our babys name creator can help you find a baby at 12 weeks old and unique name for your child. But when we take it back throughout all the unbroken generations of life, then to the formation of the earth, then the development of the galaxy, then the universe being created from the Big Bang, your odds have now been reduced to 1 in 10 followed by 2,685,000 zeroes. This alone should boost any lingering low self-esteem quite a bit. But, once we are born, we have an incredible opportunity to create our future . What are the odds of that? Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. If they met one new person of the opposite sex every day from age 15 to 40, that would be about 10,000 people. Well, the right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents, too. So, it seems fair to say that there are an infinite number of possibilities of any event happening not matter how remote the chance. Let's say a life preserver's hole is about 80cm in diameter, which would make the area inside about 0.5 square meter. -- from "Love at First Sight", Wislawa Szymborska, The End and The Beginning, 1993. Because there you are futzing about on the internet reading incredibly interesting articles like this one. It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together -- about the population of San Diego -- each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. On one try. Lets say a third of those (4 trillion) are relevant to our calculation, since the sperm created after your mom hits menopause dont count. Something was dropped and then picked up. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Do you know the odds of being alive? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? I recently got to wondering: What are the chances that my son was born? On my birthday, I had a strangely pertinent thought: what's the probability of being born? Remember the sperm-meeting-egg argument for the creation of you, since each gamete is unique? Now imagine that each time the fly comes back from the moon it brings with it a speck of moon dust the size of a grain of sand (lets say 1 mg). A little while ago I had the privilege of attending TEDx San Francisco, organized by the incomparable Christine Mason McCaull.. One of the talks was by Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author and life coach with a syndicated radio show. The Cycle of Hatred and Revenge Ends With Me A Homily for the 7th Sunday of the Year. That is incredibly unlikely to the point of impossible. That number is not just larger than all of the particles in the universe its larger than all the particles in the universe if each particle were itself a universe. So whats the probability of your existing? Lets say the fly takes a brief respite of one million years between trips. June 24, 2022 . dr ali binazir odds of being bornmartin et julien bouchet biathlon. Thats 150,000 generations. Dr. Ali Binazir, Happiness Engineer | Modern Science and Ancient Wisdom What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Half of those people, or 200 million, will be of the opposite sex. Binazir recounted this Buddhist analogy: Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. By entering your email and clicking Sign Up, you're agreeing to let us send you customized marketing messages about us and our advertising partners. How do you deal with a confirmed bachelor?, 9 Reasons Why Men Lose Interest and What You Can Do About It. That is, instead of making one big hand-waving gesture and pronouncing, The answer is five hundred bazillion squintillion, we make a series of sequentially-reasoned, smaller hand-waving gestures so as to make it all seem scientific. So the combined probability is already around 1 in 40 million long but not insurmountable odds. You are also agreeing to our Terms of Service and Privacy Policy. Lets say we have a insect thatmirabile dictuwe can send to the moon. Similarly, Dr. Ali Binazir, in his article for The Huffington Post, has a clever calculation that resulted in his estimate that the probability of being born is 1 in 10 2,685,000 . The only know outcome is that you were born to your particular parents. The right sperm also had to meet the right egg to create your grandparents; otherwise theyd be different people and so would their children, who would then have had children who were similar to you but not quite you. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001. Step 2. Author and blogger Dr. Ali Binazir did the calculations last spring and decided that the chances of anyone existing are one in 102,685,000. Gamblers always play the odds; their lives revolve around probabilities, and that has led many into dark places. Further, they would not have existed if their parents had not existed and met, and so on. (Just dont blow up your car trying to have the exhaust be blue smoke like I saw on that viral video, or set any forests on fire, lets keep it safe, kids.). What Does Jesus Mean When He Says We Must Be Salted with Fire. Youre not just one in a million, youre one in a 102,685,000. Or, the total number of seconds that have elapsed since the Big Bang is 10x 16 th power. Dr. Ali Binazir illustrates the extremely unlikely chain of events that would have to occur in order for you to be born with this . This is similar to the probability of any one star turning super-nova. They each roll the dice and they all come up with. So I got curious: Are either of these estimates correct? Which one's bigger? This post was published on the now-closed HuffPost Contributor platform. Binazir decided to test the Buddhist understanding against the modern scientific understanding. The Probability of You Existing at All Is Unbelievably Low But let's think about this some more. Xahej (ZAH-edge) "Xi" Bajipura she/her/Ms. To complete the analysis: (102,640,000) (1045,000) (40,000,000) = 4 x 102,685,007 102,685,000. We were not born by accident given the odds calculated by scientists showing the odds of you being born are at least 1 in 400 trillion IF NOT 1 in 400 quadrillion and most likely 1 in 10.2,640,000. So the combined probability is already around one in 40 million -- long but not insurmountable odds. Say humans or humanoids have been around for about 3 million years, and that a generation is about 20 years. That should always be a great sense of wonder and a real source of gratitude. Ali Binazir | Armchair Economist If the first shot fall into the black hole, it remains only the red, and not green or blue. So far, so good. Same to all of us. They'd be amazed to hear that Chance has been toying with them now for years. I'm Heidi, I'm a writer, a mama and a sober recovery teacher/mentor. I was alerted to a fascinating article by Ali Binazir, who sets forth mathematically the probably that each of us exists. It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. A miracle is an event so unlikely as to be almost impossible. Probability is a pure odd. The atheist and agnostics give the existence of God about the same odds. Let's confine the pool of possible people they could meet to 1/10th of the world's population 20 years go (1/10th of 4 billion = 400 million) so it considers not just the population of the US but that of the places they could have visited. His reasoning being that each person experiences an event of some sort every second. And the chances of that turning into another meeting is about one in 10 also. Or could they be underestimates of the true number? The Chances You Were Born - Girl to Mom saving. He looked at the odds of your parents meeting, given how many men and women there are on Earth and how many people of the opposite sex your mother and father would have met in their first 25 years of life. Part of HuffPost Wellness. The learned professor was actually pulling everyones legs, but Littlewoods Law has been conscripted as proof of a number of strange theories. Borel's Law of Probability - Owlcation A man will produce about 12 trillion sperm over the course of his reproductive lifetime. So the probability of your parents' chance meeting resulting in kids is about 1 in 2000. Those who are brave (foolish?) Wowser. The odds of you being born as you are about 1 in 400 trillion, or more. If there is only one outcome then the probability is 1/1=1. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? It would be your cousin Jethro, and you never really liked him anyway. We were all meant to be here and that we must find our purpose that brought us into creation! So, thats 28,800 events a day, adding up to a million in 35 days. To further awaken to the miracle that is you, get The Tao of Dating: The Smart Woman's Guide to Being Absolutely Irresistible, now available in book, ebook, Kindle, audiobook, and Sinai indestructible stone tablet. dr ali binazir odds of being born - c-vineretirement.com You can start the series by clicking HERE. Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age, going back about 150,000 generations to the origin of man. He goes further back to look at the probability of all your ancestors successfully mating, and of all the right sperm meeting all the right eggs to make each one of those ancestors. The first single-cell organism emerging from an inanimate chemical soup is not something that could have happened by chance. Perhaps three years ago or just last Tuesday a certain leaf fluttered from one shoulder to another? Are you a miracle? On the probability of being born | Dr. Ali Binazir dr ali binazir odds of being born 2022-06-25T04:47:45+00:00 And the chances of that lasting long enough to result in offspring is one in 2. If one square kilometer is a million square meters, then the probability of Mr Turtle sticking his head out of that life preserver is simply the area inside the life preserver divided by the total area of all oceans, or. This includes personalizing content and advertising. There is no reason not to be bold, to throw yourself at life with vigor every single day. In a recent talk at TEDx San Francisco, Mel Robbins, a riotously funny self-help author, mentioned that scientists estimate the probability of your being born at about one in 400 trillion. First, let's talk about the probability of your parents meeting. This button displays the currently selected search type. Astronomers estimate that there are at least 100 billion galaxies in the observable Universe. Multiplying it all together for the sake of completeness (Step 1 x Step 2 x Step 3 x Step 4): Probability of your being born: one in 10. Are You a Miracle? Because the existence of you here now on planet earth presupposes another supremely unlikely and utterly undeniable chain of events. Now before you start telling your parents that they could have traded any of your younger siblings for the lottery winnings, your siblings are miracles too! Still, the racial wealth gap continues: Only 11 of them are black. Theologically, of course, we are no accident; we do not exist by happenstance. Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million dollar lottery 9 times over your life again than you would have being born. The likelihood that improbable events occur is controlled by the scale of the Universe. The probability of this happening is 635,013,559,600 to one against. Throw your exploding gender reveal football to festively burst with pink or blue powder. "That's a pretty big number," I thought to myself. If Borels Law is the immutable truth and the creationists are wrong, you cant exist. Suitcases checked and standing side by side. And whats even more profound is that 10^2,685,00 is not even remotely comparable with eternity. The good news is that the fee is only $10 per class 10-20x cheaper than therapy, and probably more effective. Imagine there was one life preserver thrown somewhere in some ocean and there is exactly one turtle in all of these oceans, swimming underwater somewhere. Borels Law is about the probability of events occurring. What would we come up with ourselves starting with first principles, making some reasonable assumptions and putting them all together? Namely, that every one of your ancestors lived to reproductive age -- going all the way back not just to the first Homo sapiens, first Homo erectus and Homo habilis, but all the way back to the first single-celled organism. They each roll the dice and they all come up the exact same number say, 550,343,279,001." What it Took For You to Exist So, who better to explain probability theory than someone who is a complete duffer at mathematics? Just go have some fucking fun! Click the image to enlarge it and check their numbers: Of course, there are poets who argue exactly the opposite: that each of us is fated to exist, that there is a plan, and that all of us are expected. But now, as long as I'm musing about insane probabilities, I thought I'd delve a little into the odds of us even being born and what that took! Its almost too big to process, just know that the odds that you exist at all are basically zero. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazir's article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. In fact, He has been preparing a place for each of us in the kingdom, from before the creation of the world. Visions in Lent: Family Life As a Seen in a Rock Tumbler. According to WolframAlpha, the total area of oceans in the world is 341 million km (131.6 million square miles). Miebakagh Fiberesima from Port Harcourt, Rivers State, NIGERIA. So to the second question: how accurate is this number? This is also true of their parents, and so on till the beginning of time. The following analysis, paraphrased at some points, is taken directly from Mr. Binazirs article: The probability of father meeting mother is 1 in 20,000. Here's Dr. Ali Binazir on the probability of a human being born: "It's the probability of 2.5 million people getting together about the population of San Diego each to play a game of dice with trillion-sided dice. So, round-trip time works out to be about 14 yearsfor the fly to go to the moon and back. Learn more here: Dr. Ali Binazir's Article on Probability of Being Born Even with the lowest statistic of 1 in 400 trillion, you would have a better chance of winning over $100 million.

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