The Blue States and the Red States are referred to as states of the U.S. whose voters predominantly choose either the Democratic Party (Blue) or Republican Party (Red) for Presidential and Senatorial Candidates. The "blue wall" went blue once again Democratic. The vast majority of reported incidents involved concerns about unlawful electioneering or interference at polling sites. Holly If Biden loses Fla, North Carolina and Georgia, his so-called greater Midwest certainly includes winning Pennsylvania. By household income, Obama got a majority of households with less than $50,000 in annual income. because red and blue state designations . You might have heard of this: In Pennsylvania, if you don't submit your mail ballot with the proper envelope, it's called a naked ballot and it will get tossed out. We and our partners use data for Personalised ads and content, ad and content measurement, audience insights and product development. On Election Day, polls are open from 7 a.m. to 8 p.m. Holly My point in mentioning Montgomery County and Philly is that if those places aren't reporting all their votes, the red mirage scenario is still very much in place if the president chose thatroute. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Clinton:36,322 (35.80%). 24/7 coverage of breaking news and live events. Biden's projected win in the state was fueled by significant gains in already-blue counties, including Atlanta (Fulton County) and its suburbs. The only deviations from the preexisting red-blue paradigm were all in Obama's favor. That's changed in recent years as political polarization has increased, resulting in red and blue strongholds with bigger victory margins. And then, like Anita, I am watching to see how POTUS reacts. He held his own in . But the distinction between the two groups of states is less simplistic. . Political polarization in the United States, popular vote majority by a double-digit margin, did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote, Political ideologies in the United States, "When red meant Democratic and blue was Republican. Idaho. He served as governor from 2003 to 2011 and was also the mayor of Philadelphia. In U.S. politics it's common to hear red states and blue states, but where did the expression come from? California and New York have become national catalysts for progressive policies, while Texas and Florida have become the most powerful advocates of conservative alternatives. So first, I'm looking to see what exactly we learn tonight and how quickly local governments across the state are able to process mail ballots. That election saw Donald Trump win the state by 0.7%, one of three 'blue wall' states (Michigan & Wisconsin the others) he won on his way to winning the presidential election. The state of Maine has seen supporters from both Democrats and Republican voters but the majority of Democrats voters, therefore, it is referred to as Blue State while Nebraska state saw a majority of voters from Republicans hence it is referred to as Red State. [45][46] Red states and blue states are states that typically vote for the Republican and Democratic parties, respectively. But maps that color entire counties red or blue can dupe viewers: they make both states . The political map of Pennsylvania is often described as a T with Republicans holding sway up the center of the state and across its northern tier, and Democrats strongest in the southeast and southwest. The blue states scored better two ways higher overall average rankings vs. red states (No. Also, theres a run off in Georgia so you may have two strikes incorrect. Prior to Election Day, the U.S. Supreme Court rejected a request by Pennsylvania Republicans to block a state court order that allows mail ballots arriving up to three days after Nov. 3 to be counted. Election maps often use a two-class color scheme (red and blue), which results in a map that is easy to read but is very generalized. Related: List Of US States And Their Capitals In Alphabetical Order With PDF. Idaho solidifies its ranking as a top retirement state by offering many tax breaks for seniors. The terms "red state" and "blue state" have been in familiar lexicon since the 2000 US presidential election. [24] A juxtaposition of differing colors and shades can result in contrast misperceptions. What are red and blue states? Per Holly's point, keep in mind Montgomery County is a giant, the third most populous county in the state. How much does fracking register as an issue across the state in southeastern PA, in Philly and itssuburbs? President-elect Joe Biden flipped five states from red to blue this election Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona, and Pennsylvania and is expected to flip Georgia, where he leads Trump. I'm totally zeroed in on Pennsylvania tonight. Trump wanted to drive more votes out of it; Biden wanted to cut his losses. After all, it's only at the center of the political universetonight. Election officials were not permitted by law to begin counting mail-in ballots in the state until today, so we may not know the presidential election results here for days. The look of a map can vary significantly depending on the classification choices. Twenty red states are expected to go for President Donald Trump, and 23 blue states (including DC) are expected to go for former Vice President Joe Biden. '"[20], There are several problems in creating and interpreting election maps. So how does all that look visually? A lengthy post-Election court battle is the scenario Biden's camp has so fiercely tried to avoid by expanding their map to 17states. The. Thirty of Penns 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. Live results and analysis from the Jan. 5 Senaterunoffs, White House Correspondent & Associate Editor. Gov. The Keystone State became one of the three collapsed Democratic Blue Wall states that handed Trump the election. And Biden did cut his losses comparedto Clinton. In Maine, two of the four electoral votes are awarded to the winner of the statewide popular vote and one electoral vote is awarded to the winner in each of the state's two congressional districts. Charlie We haven't heard yet from Allegheny County, which is also a top source of Democratic votes. Mail ballot processing starts on Election Day. In 2020, Joe Biden won Georgia and Arizona, states that had last voted Democratic in 1992 and 1996, respectively. More than a . For example, the major center-right conservative parties in the United Kingdom, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Brazil, Italy, Spain and France all use blue or its shades (whether officially or unofficially) whereas the major socialist, communist, or social democratic parties in each country are associated with red. Inversely, in solidly red states, most voters in most urban counties voted for Democrat Barack Obama; good examples for this would be Dallas County, Texas and Fulton County, Georgia (the locations of major U.S. cities Dallas and Atlanta, respectively). The next batch will be reported at 9 a.m. (I am deleting my post earlier that said Philly officials said they were not reporting more mail-in results tonight, because it appears to have been based on incomplete information. In 2008, Obama won in Iowa and New Hampshire by more than nine percentage points, and New Mexico by double digits. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. [39] In 2008, 48 percent of U.S. voters lived in such counties, which increased further to 50 percent in 2012 and to 61 percent in 2016. #V. But I've got news for them, too. While some red counties shifted to the left, larger margins of victory than Clinton in already-blue countieswas the primary force thatdrove Biden to victory. Yet, because of just two densely packed urban clusters, the popular vote ended Trump 2,970,733 / Clinton 2,926,441. Pennsylvania is considered to be a perennial swing state, including in the 2020 presidential election. Overall, Pennsylvania is a "blue state" 49 percent of registered voters are Democrats, 37 percent are Republicans and 14 percent are independents or members of minor parties. However, the current U.S. scheme has become so ingrained in the American election system that foreign sources who cover U.S. elections, such as the BBC, Der Spiegel and El Mundo follow with the red-Republican, blue-Democratic scheme for U.S. Many argue that assigning partisanship to states is only really useful as it pertains to the Electoral College, as well as (more recently) the Senate, primarily a winner-take-all system of elections (with the exceptions of Nebraska and Maine). Richard C. Young is the editor of Young's World Money Forecast, and a contributing editor to both Richardcyoung.com and Youngresearch.com. Texas was the biggest winner the second-most populous state added two congressional seats, while Florida and North Carolina gained one. What I want to know is the number out of Philly -- what margin is Joe Biden taking out of the state's largest city? The reliably blue state in a presidential election was one of many flipped by President Donald Trump in his 2016 win. Note that election maps of all kinds are subject to errors of interpretation. In fact, the only Georgia county that flipped Burke voted Clinton in 2016, then Trump in 2020. In April 2008, Republican presidential nominee John McCain predicted that the presidential election that November would not follow the red-state-blue-state pattern, saying, "I'm not sure that the old red state, blue state scenario that prevailed for the last several elections works. Counties are colored red or blue when the % expected vote reporting reaches a set threshold. Seven months into the coronavirus crisis, the states with the most severe unemployment in the country all seem to have one thing in common: They vote blue. While they may have voted for Biden in 2020, they did so by margins smaller than his. The exceptions were New Mexico (Al Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), Iowa (Gore in 2000 and Bush in 2004), and New Hampshire (Bush in 2000 and Kerry in 2004). One problem occurs when areal units differ in size and significance, as is the case with election maps. Out of the counties in these states that Hillary Clinton lost in 2016, Biden won only eight of them. During the Bush administration, the red-blue map was criticized by some[31] for exaggerating the perceived support for President Bush. However, there are pros and cons to both classified and unclassified choropleth maps. It is not a red state. Pennsylvania's CPVI is R+2. Iapologize.). [34][35][36], In 1976, only 27 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties, which increased to 39 percent by 1992. The "Democratic blue" and "Republican red" color scheme is now part of the lexicon of American journalism. Biden wants to cut his losses in those places (and maybe even flip a county here or there), so that's why you see him reiterate again and again that he doesn't want to ban fracking. Each tend to show some patterns well while obscuring others. You have entered an incorrect email address! In 2020, the state with the highest crime rate in the United States per 100,000 inhabitants was New Mexico. The Wolverine State grew by 2.0% or 193,691 people from 2010 to 2020, raising its population to 10,077,331. Archie Tse, The New York Times graphics editor who made the choice when the Times published its first color presidential election map in 2000, provided a nonpolitical rationale for retaining the redRepublican link, explaining that "Both 'Republican' and 'red' start with the letter 'R. Further, all election maps are subject to the interpretation error known as the ecological fallacy. Alabama is the most Republican, and Washington the most Democratic state, according to new rankings from The Hill. During the 2016 presidential election, two districts (the first and second) gave Clinton over 80% and 90% of the vote. Feelings of cultural and political polarization between red and blue states, which have gained increased media attention since the 2004 election, have resulted in increased mutual feelings of alienation and enmity. The most significant difference between blue and red states occurred from late June to early August. Special elections, if any, are excluded. Here's why Pennsylvania is a Red State to the core. Sacrificing the Future to China for Bidens Green New Deal. Red States 1 Arizona 1 Alabama 2 California 2 Pennsylvania voted democratic in the 2020 election. Some of our partners may process your data as a part of their legitimate business interest without asking for consent. Although the Electoral College determines the presidential election, a more precise measure of how the country actually voted may be better represented by either a county-by-county or a district-by-district map. Source: NYT exit polls: 24,537 surveyed[54], Source: CNN exit polls: 24,558 surveyed[55], Democratic Some precincts reported mechanical problems or ran out of supplies. Two counties flipped from red to blue: Erie, in Pennsylvania's northwestern corner, and Northampton, in eastern Pennsylvania. These states often had more regulations and higher taxes. Biden's margin of victory was under 1% in Arizona, Georgia, and Wisconsin, and it was under 1.2% in Pennsylvania. [18], Thus, red and blue became fixed in the media and in many people's minds, despite the fact that the Democratic and Republican parties had not officially chosen colors. With 100% of precincts reporting, Trump won the state with . The 2004 election showed two of these three states to be true to the presidential preferences of their respective regions, creating a greater regional separation; thus, an argument that the country was more divided from the 2000 election. But Biden didn't get to 40% like the strategist wanted (and which Obama got beyondtwice). Some voters expressed concern about imposing constables, others reported feeling harassed. Not a single Penn county gave Clinton over 60% of the vote. )Voters spoiled mail-in ballots at high rates, and some poll workers were confused about how to process those ballots. Anita What do you want to know? All but 10 states1 1Plus one congressional district in Nebraska had voted consistently Democratic or Republican for (at least) the prior four consecutive presidential elections. Updated on July 09, 2019 Our list of the most conservative states to live and work featured states favorable to people who enjoy greater liberties, educational choice, right-to-work status, and religious freedom. [23], Finally, there are problems associated with human perception. Support local journalism. Cartograms developed by Gastner, Shalizi, and Newman at the University of Michigan provide another way to depict election results,[28] which change from a red-blue paradigm to one of shades of purple.[29]. [37][38] Nearly half of U.S. voters resided in counties that voted for George W. Bush or John Kerry by 20 percentage points or more in 2004. China Hopes Recovery Dims Memories of Zero COVID Debacle, Industry Races to Diversify Away from China. Popular vote data are necessarily aggregated at several levels, such as counties and states, which are then colored to show election results. That made a difference in a state that was ultimately decided by roughly 45,000votes. Copyright 2023 | Terms & Conditions | About Us | Dick Young | Archives. Pennsylvania was one of the most closely watched states throughout the 2020 election. Before Trump's 2016 win, the state voted. Out of. Latino voters in the state, like those across the U.S., constitute a solid base for Democrats. There was one historical use, associated with boss rule, of blue for Democrats and red for Republicans: during the late 19th century and early 20th century, Texas county election boards used color-coding to help Spanish-speaking and illiterate voters identify the parties;[8] however, this system was not applied consistently in Texas and was not replicated in any other state. Youve Read The Last Issue of Intelligence Report, Now What? By this definition, Arizona and Georgia are still (slightly) red states R+7.6 and R+7.4, respectively. But Biden won the most votes in the most populous county, also called Jefferson. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. Democrats' new logo: Change you can sell? 10. The use of the term Blue or Red has been expanded to differentiate between states being perceived as Liberal and those perceived as Conservative. [41][note 1][42]. After the 2004 election, Vanderbei and then others made similar maps summarizing the results. Your Cash Swept into Your Brokers Bank Account! Success! All three of those states were very close in both elections. A free app to create, analyze and share redistricting maps for any state. Survive and Thrive March 2023: How Long Have You Been in the Investment Business? (This list is made as per the party winner of the Presidential election in each state [Not Governor], Here the Red represents Donald Trump whereas the Blue represents Joe Biden). One trend that has been true for several election cycles is that states that vote Republican tend to be more rural and more sparsely populated (thus having fewer electoral votes) than states that vote Democratic. On March 14, 2014, the California Republican Party officially rejected red and adopted blue as its color. This is most evident in the Southern United States, where the state Democratic Party organizations tend to be more conservative than the national party, especially on social issues. Thirty of Penn's 44 counties gave Trump 60% of the vote. With the caveat that we still know very, very little about Pennsylvania, let's zoom in on one county: Washington County, which is in the pro-Trump western part of the state. With proper treatments well known including proper dosages (vs. WHO stating in 1979 the potentially lethal dose of HCQ was 1500-2000 mg then attempted a study at 2400 mg in one day, that was designed to both fail and kill.) Pennsylvania is generally considered a battleground state, although it voted Democratic in the six elections prior to 2016. But what they didn't realize was that Trump was surging in rural parts of the state and flipping some swing counties like the ones mentionedabove. Taking Biden at face value about Michigan and Wisconsin where, for what it's worth (not that much), the exit poll data looks pretty good for him and he came in with a significant polling lead here's where the map goes: If Biden wins those two, plus Maine, Nevada and Arizona, but nothing else, he's at 269 electoral votes. ABC used yellow for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1976, then red for Republicans and blue for Democrats in 1980, 1984, and 1988. In his address before the 2004 Democratic National Convention in Boston, Barack Obama spoke on the issue of blue states and red states, saying: "The pundits like to slice-and-dice our country into red states and blue states red states for Republicans, and blue states for Democrats. If youre willing to fight for Main Street America, click here to sign up for my free weekly email. POLITICO's Live 2016 Pennsylvania Election Results and Maps by State, County and District. Similarly, Tennessee was won by Bush in both 2000 and 2004, but going into 2004, its governor was a Democrat and both chambers of the state legislature were controlled by Democrats as well. Will Pennsylvania be red or blue in 2020? Generally, the same held true for married versus single women, but a greater percentage of women overall voted for Obama than for McCain. Explained! Democrats, including Biden's campaign, spent a ton of money educating voters about this rule to prevent that. [53] White, middle-aged, Christian, married males made up McCain's largest constituency. We may not know results in PA fordays. elections. I feel like my job this entire night might be explaining why #nothingmatters inPA. Partly as a result of this eventual and near-universal color-coding, the terms "red states" and "blue states" entered popular use in the weeks after the 2000 presidential election. In the 2020 United States presidential election, Democratic nominee Joe Biden defeated President Trump by reclaiming Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania for his party. On August 5, the risk of death in red states was 1.8 times higher than in blue. State voted with the overall winning candidate. The choices of color and shading likewise affect the map's appearance. [24] Large areas of color appear more saturated than small areas of the same color. Non-English-speaking residents faced language access issues at a few polling locations. Its governor is Democratic, its Senate is both Republican and Democratic, and its House balance is also evenly split between the two parties. Below, we've broken out how 16 battleground states voted since 2000 and what the ever-changing Electoral College map could mean going forward. Is Missouri a red state? This problem is compounded if the units are not equally significant. Trump:70,760 (61.01%) Pennsylvanias demographic makeup has not altered dramatically in just four short years. 7%78%Median of all states 28%// State data highlighted23%Pennsylvania Median income Pennsylvania's median household. Dane County is home to Madison, the second-largest city in Wisconsin. Rural Clinton County, near State College, is the most politically balanced county, with 43 percent Republicans and 43 percent Democrats. As a group, adults younger than age 40 voted for Obama. 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. It further claims that from 1976 to 2004, in an attempt to avoid favoritism in color-coding, the broadcast networks standardized the convention of alternating every four years between blue and red the color used for the incumbent president's party. [57], The scheme has found acceptance and implementation from the U.S. federal government as the Federal Election Commission report for the 2004 presidential election uses the red-Republican and blue-Democratic scheme for its electoral map. The four "mega-states" have established rival and increasingly polarized visions of state government-one blue, the other red. Although many red states and blue states stay in the same category for long periods, they may also switch from blue to red or from red to blue over time. [9] That same year, a color supplement included with a July issue of The Washington Post used red for Republican-favoring states, blue for Democratic-favoring states, yellow for "doubtful" states and green for territories that did not have a presidential vote.[10]. Cash, Money, Green: How Will You Feel in Retirement? But in 2016, although Hillary Clinton won Latino voters by roughly 30 points, turnout was remarkably . By opting into newsletters you are agreeing to our. A purple state refers to a swing state where both Democratic and Republican candidates receive many votes without an overwhelming majority for either party. Forty-seven of the 50 states were consistent in voting for George W. Bush or his Democratic opponent in the 2000 and 2004 presidential elections. Update: Philadelphia officials tell me they will report more mail-in ballot results betweenmidnight and 1 a.m. With the election year underway, we put together a state map that lays out the political landscape, based on February voter registration figures from the Pennsylvania Department of State. So, assuming NYT's 98%+ reporting estimate is correct, Trump got more raw votes out of Washington County like he wanted quite a bit more. In a 2020 update from the Rockefeller Institute, the disparity between traditional blue and red states is even more significant, especially for the state of New York, Republicans' favorite target . The county with the most lopsided voter registration margin is Philadelphia, which is 78 percent Democrat, 11 percent Republican and 11 percent other. States that voted against Mr. Trump in 2016 have seen 103,918 deaths, according to the latest New York Times tally on Thursday afternoon, compared with 91,525 in states that supported him. Turn on desktop notifications for breaking stories about interest? How red or blue is your state? When do we get to talk some PENNSYLVANIA :eagles:? Learn about the meaning of these words and see a list of these states, as of the 2020 election. This is still a substantial difference from the period 1960 to 1980 when every state, save for Arizona, voted for each party at least once. US Treasury Yield Curve: My Favorite Investor Tool, click here to sign up for my free weekly email, The Liberal Invasion of Red-State America, DRUGS, TRAFFICKING, MURDER: Americas Immigration Crisis Continues, Vermont Abandoned, Dairy Farm Economy Devastated. Some maps attempt to account for this by using cartogram methods, but the resulting distortion can make such maps difficult to read. The analysis that suggests political, cultural and demographic differences between the states is more accurate when applied to smaller geographical areas. The Pennsylvania Senate, on the other hand, has been under consistent Republican control for decades. Your California Privacy Rights/Privacy Policy. Secondly, I'm looking to see if we get a sense tonight of how many "naked ballots" there are in the state. Then again, Sen. Bob Casey told me he thought the race could potentially be called in Pennsylvania tonight. It is not a red state. Data: Wikipedia through 2018; 270toWin research. Winner did not receive a plurality of the vote and lost the popular vote "There is nothing inherently blue or red about this, by law or by design," Foley said. The 21st-century association of colors in American politics is contrary to the long-standing conventions of political color in most other countries whereby red symbols (such as the red flag or red star) are associated with leftist politics. I talked to several elected officials and voter rights groups today, and everyone reported high turnout, particularly in Philadelphia. [37][38] In 2020, 58 percent of U.S. voters lived in landslide counties. Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin and one district in Maine voted Republican in 2016. I think most of these states that we have either red or blue are going to be up for grabs. And when election results flowed in Tuesday night, Nov. 2, Studio 8-H at 30 Rockefeller Center lit up. Traditional political mapmakers, at least throughout the 20th century, had used blue to represent the modern-day Republicans, as well as the earlier Federalist Party. Stay tuned on Nov. 3 for live analysis from our reporters. Joe Biden won back Pennsylvania for Democrats in the 2020 election after President Donald Trump carried the state in 2016. Later, in the 1888 presidential election, Grover Cleveland and Benjamin Harrison used maps that coded blue for the Republicans, the color perceived to represent the Union and "Lincoln's Party", and red for the Democrats. [11] As late as the 1990s, Democrats were often represented by red and Republicans by blue. During Election Day in 2016, Democrats reported good turnout in Philadelphia, and Clinton actually pulled out almost as many raw votes out of Philly as Obama in 2012. Various different maps, such as ones which coded states based on the strength of their support for one candidate or another, ones which gave results based on county, or ones which displayed states according to the size of their population, were proposed as correctives to this perceived flaw. [59][60][61], "Red state" and "Blue state" redirect here. In 1980, when John Anderson had a relatively well publicized campaign as an independent candidate, at least one network indicated provisionally that they would use yellow if he were to win a state. PTFCA Indoor State Championship by Don & Gayle Rich Feb 26, 2023 WATCH: Eighth Grader Sophia Rodriguez runs 9:43 3K Mar 3, 2023 Drew Griffith runs the third-fastest Mile in PA History Mar 1, 2023 Starting with the 2000 United States presidential election, the terms "red state" and "blue state" have referred to U.S. states whose voters vote predominantly for one party the Republican Party in red states and the Democratic Party in blue states in presidential and other statewide elections. Polarization is more evident on a county scale with the growing percentage of the U.S. electorate living in "landslide counties", counties where the popular vote margin between the Democratic and Republican candidate is 20 percentage points or greater. However, as inGeorgia, the majority of Biden's gains came from larger vote margins in counties that also voted Democratic in 2016. Biden did so by rebuilding the "blue wall" of Pennsylvania, Wisconsin and Michigan, according to NBC News projections. 2020 Electoral Map Results. The converse can also be true, as in the case of Maine, which had two Republican U.S. senators, but Democratic presidential candidate John Kerry won the state's electoral votes. Let's continue our tour around the Electoral College. If a state is not a red state or a blue state, it might be a swing state . When Is the Best Time for You to Do This? Special elections, if any, are excluded. polls closed in Ala., Conn., Del., D.C., Fla., Ill., Maine, Md., Mass., Miss., Mo., N.H., N.J., Okla., Pa., R.I., Tenn. polls closed in Ga., Ind., Ky., S.C., Vt., Va. Presidential results by pre-election forecasted chances, Georgia Senate elections live updates: Jon Ossoff projected to win Ga. Senate seat, ABC News projects Ossoff victory over Perdue, Raffensperger escorted out of state Capitol building, says deputy secretary of state, Here are Georgia's election certification deadlines, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. Would Pennsylvania make a better early primary state. When a state is called a "red state", it means that it has traditionally voted in favor of Republican candidates. Here's the count: 2020: The Online Home of Author and Investor, Dick Young, President Donald J. Trump delivers remarks on Americas Energy Dominance and Manufacturing Revival Tuesday, Aug. 13, 2019, at the Shell Pennsylvania Petrochemicals Complex in Monaca, Pa. (Official White House Photo by Tia Dufour).

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