His week one status is in doubt, and there are reports he may not be ready for 12-15 touch workloads until October. Hes the favorite for running back targets, but the offense doesnt really throw to the running backs. This should be a fair competition, considering that Miami is changing its scheme this year. The role we envisioned for Johnson is already in question. Unfortunately for him, the team replaced the coaching staff that he impressed and signed veteran Carlos Hyde and drafted Travis Etienne in the first round. With talented guys like Brady, Manning, Brees, Rodgers. Ben Cummins: Robinson was an awesome story in 2020 as he just kept producing while seeing 21.43 opportunities per game (6th most in the league) from Weeks 1-16. He's never carried the ball more than 132 times in a season. Links to similar discussions on other positions: The flip side of succeeding with value players is failing with overvalued players. Even when Barkley was a big fantasy hit, it took big plays that can be very mercurial from year to year to make it happen. It all depends on who works best in the new scheme and if the scheme works. History has shown us that Harris's ADP will likely move into Round 2 or 3 as the next few months pass. Thats the first thing we notice. J.D. Clyde Edwards-Helaire was used as a space player last year, and his lack of a red-zone presence placed a ceiling on his fantasy value. Now, if the right-back fully lived up to his potential, then he could have been a Man City great. Victoria Geary: Dobbins is an elite talent on the best rushing offense in the NFL. We've seen running backs repeatedly return from severe knee injuries; very seldom do they return the following year and have a memorable fantasy season. Whenever a new coaching group comes in, especially an inexperienced one, there is always the risk that players with a high fantasy price underachieve. Malcolm Brown is one of the least-sexy names in fantasy football, but NFL teams sure seem to love him. Eric Dickerson 8. Jones was the better, more efficient runner during the 2020 regular season, and Bernard seems destined to be Tampa's primary passing-down back. He has lapses in vision and decision-making. He also has a new coaching staff, a new play-caller, and a new system to learn. Gordon isn't going away just because fantasy managers want him to. In an attempt to point out these players, we asked our staff to look . Bettis was also a nonfactor in the passing game. Zamir White is looking like a capable back and could eat into Jacobs' carries. 1. With McKissic back taking over passing down duties and Brian Robinson Jr possibly taking over red zone opportunities, Gibson is being overvalued in fantasy drafts. Anthony Amico: The story with Gibson is somewhat similar to that of Jacobs but with a proof of concept already complete. Phil Alexander: Michael Thomas' ankle injury opens up additional targets for Kamara, who will operate as New Orleans' de facto No. David Montgomery Dynasty Profile: Fantasy Outlook, Value, Projections While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. The addition of James Conner, plus the knowledge that Kyler Murray could steal goal-line carries, also adds a bit of skepticism. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs - Bleacher Report As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league to put up those huge numbers over that finishing stretch. By the season's end, Mike Davis will be a case of "I knew it," but the guy who pushes him down or out is pure guesswork at this stage. McKissic will get passing down work, so Gibson's floor and ceiling will be lower than last year, the only question is how much lower. Kudos to James Robinson. Edmonds is a great player who offers a ton of talent on the field to help win games, but he will never be the high volume type of player that we are all desperately looking for each year. Jordan McNamara: Javonte Williams got a major bump in value in the offseason when Melvin Gordon III was a free agent. With an almost entirely new coaching staff, quarterback and receivers, it is difficult to trust that Swift will be worth his asking price. Green Bay Packers: Most underrated, overrated players of all time - NFL.com Gaskin has an RB2 ceiling, but an RB3 value is a much stronger likelihood than many realize, whether it's Brown or a summer free-agent acquisition like Todd Gurley, Adrian Peterson, or a recent starter a team lets go to make room for an emerging force. That number of targets limited his ceiling, and he was barely a low-end RB2. The team didn't improve a problem defensive line. Jonathan Taylor, Indianapolis | Consensus Rankings RB8 | Consensus Projections RB7. And even if he played all three downs, the target competition is strong (Davante Adams, Darren Waller, Hunter Renfrow). Think about that for a moment. David Montgomery, Chicago | Consensus Rankings RB19 | Consensus Projections RB20. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB22 | Consensus Projections RB24. Jordan McNamara: The news on Saquon Barkley does not reassure me. He's a workout warrior - I get that, but whether or not he recovers immediately from this injury is yet to be seen, and because there is a doubt, he's someone I am avoiding at nearly all costs. I'm out. After the Robinson selection, head coach Ron Rivera likened the potential Antonio Gibson and Brian Robinson Jr combination to the Jonathan Stewart and D'Angelo Williams pairing he used during his Carolina days. ESPN lists Georgia's James Cook as one of two 'most overrated' running His lack of use as a runner has to be a concern. Top 10 Most Overrated Athletes of All Time It's not that they aren't great players, they just aren't everything we've been led to believe. The Giants offensive line, playcalling, and quarterback play give us no faith that they can help create fantasy overachievers. Overall: 98 and 96. Phil Alexander: Hunt finished last season as the RB10 in PPR scoring, but his cumulative stats were buoyed by a four-game stint as Cleveland's starter when Nick Chubb was out with an MCL sprain. Gibson fumbled in the preseason opener, and ball security has been an issue as he coughed up the football four times last year. NFL draft 2022 running back projections - Rankings, historical comps Now, these guys are treated with all the respect of disposable diapers. Here are the players who received the most votes: And here are all of the players mentioned and the reasons why. Here is the player who received the most votes: And here are all of the payers mentioned and the reasons why. Cohen is strictly limited to passing-down work, and the numbers suggest that he isn't outstanding in that role either. 5. NFL's 5 Most Overrated Running Backs No Name August 6, 2011 Over the past decade, the NFL has really evolved into a passing league. Gaskin was a revelation versus his cost a year ago but is a buyer beware in 2021. Perhaps the political and social issues depicted in 'The Grapes of Wrath" were too controversial. The only reason Johnson had fantasy value last year was a superhuman effort from Deshaun Watson to move the offense and produce points. Pat Fitzmaurice: First, a hat tip: For a guy who was a nonfactor in Purdue's offense for four years and was mostly a special-teamer in his first four NFL seasons, Mostert turned out to be a pretty good running back. I can't see Mostert getting enough work to justify his current ADP. Given Russell Wilson's historical propensity to score rushing touchdowns in goal-line situations, it's hard to get overly excited about Williams, particularly in PPR formats. Matt Waldman: After studying Swift's best weeks in 2020, the Lions' offseason acquisitions, and Coach Lynn's analysis of his backs, I'm less enthusiastic about Swift. He's not a player to build your team around if you pick in the top half of the first round. He finally received the workhorse role fantasy players have craved. Johnson himself has acknowledged it, and the backs' usage in the first preseason game indicates frustration for anyone wanting to farm this barren land. Sigmund Bloom: Johnson was still in line to start after he took a pay cut to stay with the Texans, but then the team added Phillip Lindsay after he and the Broncos parted ways, which embroils Johnson in a frustrating committee backfield in an offense that is likely to be among the league's worst. We don't yet know how much of Kamara's past success as a pass-catcher to attribute to Brees. Barkley could hit on pure talent and above-average recuperative ability, but everything else is going against him to return value on his lofty ADP. Najee Harris, Pittsburgh | Consensus Rankings RB15 | Consensus Projections RB13. World's top 10 most overrated football players in history Combine a true committee situation with a quarterback who racks up 1,000 yards and a handful of scores, and you have a ceiling on Dobbins that won't be unlocked without a rash of injuries. There's just not enough upside here to justify taking Johnson anywhere near his ADP and no expectation of consistency in Johnson's usage or the Texans' ability to move the ball week to week. Williams is extremely talented, but as of now, it looks like this will be a split backfield. Sigmund Bloom: Anthony Lynn basically told us that he will run a committee of Swift and free agent pick Jamaal Williams when he called Williams his "A" back. He doesnt have that much of a skill set difference with Malcolm Brown and Salvon Ahmed either. Coach Brian Flores comes from New England, where they liked employing a committee, and now they have come out publicly to say this will, in fact, be a committee in Miami. Barry Sanders is easily the best ever. They traded up in the draft to select Javonte Williams and, without the large contract, may have already released the former Charger. He had the second-worst catch rate in the league last year among running backs, catching only 56% of his targets and dropping eight passes along the way (tied for most with Ezekiel Elliot). Jordan McNamara: Malcom Brown drew the starter role in the first preseason game, and the team has shown the willingness to change starters against conventional wisdom when Gaskin was a surprise starter in Week 1. I definitely do not want the most expensive option here (Carter), but Coleman and Johnson are arbitrage plays. Top 10 Most Overrated NFL Players of All Time. McKissic is not your traditional committee back or injury-away dart throw for a big ceiling. However, with Smith out of town, gunslinger Ryan Fitzpatrick now under center, and sophomore running back Antonio Gibson expected to step up, McKissic isnt someone that will have much value in most fantasy leagues. It's not entirely his fault. Tevin Coleman was specifically brought in because he knows the run-blocking schemes the Jets will employ this year, and Ty Johnson hasn't gone anywhere either. The following represent the most overrated NFL player on each team. Give me Chris Carson or Josh Jacobs in a similar draft range with stronger probabilities to hit as a top-10 option. As well as he played in the postseason, Fournette is still an inefficient committee back ticketed to share work with Ronald Jones II and Giovani Bernard. There are no guarantees he fits with what Atlanta wants to do or whether he has the endurance to handle a workload after last year's use. Kareem Hunt, Cleveland | Consensus Rankings RB21 | Consensus Projections RB22. By the end of the year, that may change, but Etienne will be a change-of-pace and gadget player who might earn flex value this year until then. Jason Garrett was one of the most uninspiring play-callers in the league last year. Drew Davenport: McKissic's price isn't super high, so anyone who believes in him isn't making a grave error where he's being drafted. The team likes fourth-round pick Zamir White and passing down back Ameer Abdullah, and Kenyan Drake is still on the roster, so Jacobs is going to have trouble being consistent enough to merit an every-week RB2 start. Andy Hicks: The Broncos dont seem overly excited to use Melvin Gordon III this year. In June 2008, Sports Illustrated polled nearly 500 players on the most overrated athlete in baseball, and Jeter was numero uno. Chad Parsons: As much as Taylor is an overt talent and a potentially elite RB1 in a best-case scenario. The coaching staff did not ignore this, as they selected the best pass-catching running back in the fifth round of the NFL Draft in Kenneth Gainwell. Simpson 13. As everyone knows by now, Montgomery faced some of the worst run defenses in the league over that finishing stretch to put up those huge numbers. Ben Cummins: I dont want much to do with the Texans at all this season. "Footballguys is the best premiumfantasy football This year, his new head coach -- Josh McDaniels -- is an offensive mind who made his career in schemes that utilized multiple backs as specialists for each situation. The only other way for one of them to achieve high-end RB1 value would be an injury that allows the other to see an increased workload. Aaron Jones, Green Bay | Consensus Rankings RB7 | Consensus Projections RB6. And free-agent acquisitions Mark Ingram II and Rex Burkhead didnt even play. Leonard Fournette, Tampa Bay | Consensus Rankings RB30 | Consensus Projections RB27. Pat Fitzmaurice: The Buccaneers' playoff run was the best four-game stretch for Fournette since the early part of the 2019 season. The Raiders are sure to recoup as much production as they can on the $8.5 million guarantee they gave Drake on a two-year deal, so this will look closer to a committee than a true lead-back situation. At present, I'm avoiding Gaskin because I do not trust the role, especially ahead of projected starters like Mike Davis and other players with higher upside like Travis Etienne. What follows are some of the most notable BackCAST projections for the running back prospects available in the 2022 NFL draft, along with two overrated back based on this model: ESPN + While the opportunity is undeniable, it's risky betting on Davis as the answer. Footballguys staff members discuss running backs who are overvalued. His production waned down the stretch in Carolina last year, and when was the last time we cared about an Atlanta running back in fantasy football anyway? While 3,000 hits is nothing to scoff at, his place as an. only site on the planet. There isnt much to like here. The Ravens view Gus Edwards and Dobbins as co-starters who are both vital cogs, and the front office rewarded Edwards with a new contract supporting his role. . Jeff Haseley: Josh McDaniels' history of using multiple running backs in his offense is enough to be concerned about Josh Jacobs not having a full-time role as the lead back for the Raiders. Tony Dorsett 12. However, I would ask - where is the upside to tilt a league here? Dillon is maturing as a receiver and might be used in that facet of the game despite his size profile suggesting hes a bruiser. Unlike Lindsay, Williams can supplant Gordon at the goal line, and there's some possibility that Williams takes over the backfield right away. David Montgomery looked the part of a workhorse profile after Cohen left the lineup, and Khalil Herbert is a rookie to watch for upward mobility on the depth chart. While Hunt has moderate standalone value playing alongside Chubb, he'll need to either break a long run, vulture a touchdown at the goal-line, or catch a score to help you win a weekly matchup -- all things that are difficult to bank on. Ryan Hester: If Aaron Rodgers leaves Green Bay, no Green Bay players will see their output exceed their price tag. Expect some early-season force-feeding of Etienne until there's a realization that the usage is predictable and inefficient. Every NFL team's most overrated player of all time Jarrett Bailey 12/21/2021 180K donated to doctor who preformed 10-year-old girl's abortion to help with legal costs, security.

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